A personal AI flop, giving Empowerment Tech to kids, and Apple opens up NFC
Plus: Digital wallets can learn from credit card disruption, USA proposes a GDPR and why KYC is broken
Hi everyone š
Thanks for coming back to Customer Futures. Each week I unpack the disruptive shifts around Empowerment Tech. Digital wallets, Personal AI and digital customer relationships.
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First up, itās time for a couple of announcements:
šØCustomer Futures London MeetupšØ
When: 21 May 2024, 6-8pm
Where: Somerset House Terrace Bar (outside, overlooking the river Thames), Somerset House, Strand, London, WC2R 1LA (here)
Who: All friends and colleagues of Customer Futuresā¦ anyone interested in the future of being a digital customer
RSVP: If you'd like to come along, please let me know by either 1) messaging me here or 2) replying by email to the Customer Futures newsletter.
š MISSION Launch š
Iām also excited to announce the launch of MISSION, the worldās first Empowerment Tech (ET) consultancy.
Together with James Monaghan and Nick Ris, weāve founded MISSION to help organizations understand - and respond to - the impacts and opportunities around Empowerment Tech.
Because frankly, there's too much noise.
Around self-sovereign/decentralized identity. Around Decentralized Identifiers (DIDs) and Verifiable Credentials. There are Personal AI agents, mobile driving licenses, shifting data regulations, industry consortia, new identity standards and protocols and all the rest of it.
MISSION turns that noise into signal. And helps businesses take action. With tailored insights and actionable recommendations, weāll also help you make it happen.
To grow the business and empower your customers.
To learn, to build, to invest.
So check out the MISSION website.
Weāll be sharing some regular online videos about all things ET. Hereās the first MISSION report (warning: itās rough and readyā¦ we want to learn in public: about what works, how to get better, and what topics you want us to cover - let us know!)
āLife moves pretty fast. If you donāt stop and look around once in a while, you could miss itā. (Ferris Beuller. Look it up if you donāt know, youāre missing out).
Digital life is getting faster. More tools. More news. More digital.
Itās worth pausing and taking a breath. Paying attention to the breakneck speed of digital and AI.
It was only last week that I pointed to Suno, the breakthrough GenAI video platform turning text into pretty credible music tracks.
A week later I can point you to Udio (another breathtaking music maker - seriously, go and listen). And Viggle, where you can replace a person in a video clip with whoever you want.
Weāre experiencing a real-time Cambrian explosion of new digital capabilities. Iām not sure how best to keep track, but things feel like they are accelerating.
So if you have 10 mins, this next link might be the most important thing you watch this week. The Six Horsemen of the Digital Apocalypse, by Dr Johnny Ryan.
He covers the state of the EU digital economy (though frankly, it applies globally) through the lens of data rights, digital advertising, of citizen data control. And how they all come together as the Grand Digital Challenges Of Our Time.
It reminds me of watching The AI Dilemma from Tristan Harris back in March 2023 (go watch it if you havenāt seen it).
Like Tristan Harris, Johnny boils down a set of very complex and connected issues into simple terms we can understand. And so we can take action.
He calls for an urgent response.
Itās clear that Empowerment Tech is going to be needed more than ever. Because as Johnny says, too much of our digital response is about āincrementalā change.
About evolution, not revolution.
As Ferris Bueller reminds us, things move really fast. If we are not thoughtful - and radical - about what happens next, weāll become boiling frogs who donāt notice they are being heated upā¦ incrementally.
Empowerment Tech - digital wallets, personal AI and personal vaults - is going to matter a great deal over the next few years.
Because it will unlock new digital value AND trust. Rich data insights AND privacy. New data flows AND security.
As ever it all comes down to the future of being a digital customer. So welcome back to the Customer Futures newsletter.
In this weekās edition:
Humane AI Pin falls flat
Apple opens up tap-and-go tech in the EU
US proposes a GDPR-style privacy law
Digital ID wallets can learn from the disruption to credit cards
Google Chrome privacy will radically impact search advertising
Adobe study finds customers need new digital tools to build trust
What happens when we give Empowerment Tech to kids?
ā¦ plus other links about the future of digital customers you donāt want to miss
Letās Go.
The Humane AI Pin falls flat
So the AI Pin was released, and the market has not been impressed.
A particular low point was the review from internet-famous tech reviewer Marques Brownlee. He said, āitās the worst new product Iāve ever reviewedā¦ at least in its current state.ā
The Verge said, āItās not even closeā. Wired said itās ānot all that usefulā.
And Engadget rubbed salt in the wound, saying āā¦it runs hot, itās unreliable, itās slow, the projected screen relies on tiresome and finicky gestures to navigate, itās expensive for what it does and it has a short battery lifeā.
Ooof.
Iāve said before that the first iPhone in 2006 also wasnāt great. Nor was the Pebble Watch in 2012.
Both however showed potential. A digital watch that could connect to your phone and manage apps. And a smartphone that had a large touchscreen, a decent camera and the first usable mobile web browser.
The iPhone was the first mobile computer, not just a phone.
We can see something similar here with the AI Pin. A decent voice interface. Interactive data flows. Digital integrations.
An AI assistant, not just a wearable.
There are some nuggets of the future here if you look closely. We donāt know what UI/UX or form factor will win out. But directionally at least we should be paying attention.
More compute. More connectivity. Smarter interactions.
And perhaps - who knows - a digital identity wallet so that the AI Pin can prove itās me when itās interacting with others on my behalf (āā¦book me a taxi to arrive in 30 minutes, with pickup at Tanyaās Bakery on the corner.ā)
And while youāre thinking about AI form factor and use cases, check out Limitless, āThe worldās most wearable AIā.
Itās a device you wear so you can, erm, record all your chats across Zoom, Slack, Meet, and of course your face-to-face meetings. Meaning you can āpreserve conversations, and ask your personalized AI anythingā.
āPersonalizedā.
Look, Limitless is clearly in āglassholeā territory. But thereās something interesting here about interaction and trust models.
For example, AI Pin has a ātrust lightā, so you can instantly tell if itās recording anything (photo, video, audio). And there are no wake words, so they promise thereās no āalways listeningā. (looking at you Alexa and Siri).
The important part of Marques Brownleeās review quote above is when he says āā¦at least in its current stateā.
Because Humane will iterate. PinAI will improve.
So Iām waiting for the āiPhone 3 momentā. And that took another two years from Appleās first launch.
So who knows what will be possible by 2026...
Apple opens up tap-and-go tech in the EU
Apple's NFC (tap-and-go) tech is the ācontactless paymentsā part of your phone, and gives you access to the digital wallet.
Today itās mostly for payments and loyalty.
Two years ago the EU accused Apple of restricting 3rd party app developers from accessing the NFC tech.
And Apple has finally just offered to open it up. Meaning users will be able to decide which default wallet to open when making a payment with NFC.
Whilst this is a big deal for payments (and Apple revenues), itās potentially a quieter, but bigger deal for digital identity wallets.
Letās assume digital ID wallets are a good idea (well, youāre reading Customer Futures for a start).
Now think about the user experience.
How will a user be asked to share data from it? If the business already has a connection to the customerās digital wallet, then the data request can be sent directly, and a notification will appear on the userās device.
But what about all those other one-time interactions? Where the user has never been to the store before, or the website before, or wants to avoid creating an account?
Many digital wallets today ask the user to scan a QR code. It triggers their digital wallet to open, and consumers are slowly getting used to it.
But for in-person data sharing, what about using NFC for identity? āTap and goā could quickly become the default for sharing data from a digital identity wallet.
Proof of 18+. Proof of membership to get in. Proof of a valid ticket at that time, in that place. Even āproof of existing customerā in store to get an auto-discount at the till.
The opportunities are wild.
All because Apple will (finally) open up tap and go on the device.
And not just for payments.
US proposes a GDPR-style privacy law
A new American āPrivacy Rights Actā proposes fundamental, enforceable data privacy rights in the US, putting people in control of their data.
Importantly it aims to address todayās patchwork of state laws.
āThis landmark legislation gives Americans the right to control where their information goes and who can sell it.
āIt reins in Big Tech by prohibiting them from tracking, predicting, and manipulating peopleās behaviors for profit without their knowledge and consent. Americans overwhelmingly want these rights, and they are looking to us, their elected representatives, to actā.
Digital ID wallets can learn from the disruption to credit cards
Dave Birch writes again about the economics of credit cards. And how things are being shaken up with the adoption of āaccount-to-accountā.
āWith big billers such as Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile asking customers to shift monthly payments from their credit cards to bank accounts, they are leading a trend that will only grow stronger as instant payments, open banking and digital wallets gain traction.
āNow, I understand perfectly well the factors that point to cards continued to dominance are real, but if we take them altogether then it seems to meet that there are two key factors that will determine the shift from cards to account-to-account (A2A) payments.
āThese are consumer protection and customer rewards.ā
Why am I pointing to this?
Because:
Thereās a very real link between payments and identity. And shifts around personal data control, like with ET, will impact both;
Dave points to the use of digital wallets as a big factor impacting the disruption to credit cards; and
Most importantly, we can look at Daveās view of the two key factors impacting cards - consumer protection and customer rewards - as direct parallels for adoption in the digital ID market.
Thereās a longer post to be written here about payments, credit cards, A2A payments and rewards. And how Empowerment Tech is about to change the payments landscape too.
But the main takeaways are this:
First, if you want to introduce new digital identity and wallet tools, business processes and customer experiences, then youād better understand both data liability (and protections) and customer behaviour change (and incentives like rewards). Just like Daveās diagnosis of the shifts around credit cards.
Second, the main disruption around credit cards is about the economics, not just convenience.
Weād better understand how digital identity is paid for, when, and by whom, before trying to introduce any new-fangled digital wallet tech and identity governance frameworks.
Because itās not just about disruptive tech. Itās about the fundamentals of a market, including cost structures like sources of identity data.
DAVEāS POST ON CREDIT CARD COMPETITION
Google Chrome privacy will radically impact search advertising
Google is developing a new way to handle privacy for Chrome users. And it will have knock-on impacts for advertisers targeting you based on your location.
āFor ad location targeting, youāll only have the option to target regions designated by Google, which wonāt be accurate.
āBecause Google Chrome will use a proxy to connect to websites, it will mask usersā identities, meaning advertisers cannot distinguish between genuine and bot traffic.
āGoogle is increasing its collection of uniquely valuable location data, which could increase advertisersā costs.ā
Itās another move to make things more āprivateā. Pay attention and youāll see that this is really about the business model.
Why does this matter?
Because if you control the data, you control the value. And if you control the value, you win.
Location data is useful for all sorts of stuff. Track where I am. Directions. Location-based advertising. Google sits in the middle of all that. āMaskingā users from advertisers (good), but dominating the use of that data (bad).
Why canāt I use my own location data, and āpullā digital services to me?
Because today I donāt have good enough digital tools to make that possible. Right now I only get to use a web browser.
Meaning the market is dominated by Google (65% marketshare) and Apple (18%). Controlling our data flows and our internet profiles.
The arrival of digital wallets, Personal AI and verifiable credentials - aka Empowerment Tech - will mean I can selectively share data with other parties.
Soon, that personal data will include an anonymous advertising profile. Perhaps my location.
The potential to cut through the advertising hellscape/quagmire is vast.
But it will only be possible using new digital tools of our own that are not mediated by BigTech (as we see in the opening rant of this newsletter, and Johnny Ryanās āHorsemenā video).
GOOGLEāS LOCATION āPRIVACYā UPDATES
Adobe study finds customers need new digital tools to build trust
Adobe just surveyed 6,000 consumers across the U.S., U.K., France and Germany, about misinformation, the impacts of generative AI and digital trust.
As youād expect, most people (well over 70%) say itās difficult to check if online content is trustworthy. And many (40% in the US) say theyāve stopped using some social platforms due to misinformation on them.
But the takeaway point for me is that almost everyone (nearly 90%) believes that it is essential that they have the right tools to verify if online content is trustworthy.
In other words, to not only know where a piece of content has come from (e.g. AI or not), but if itās been altered.
Thereās quite a bit of noise now coming out of the Content Authenticity Initiative, involving some big brands including Adobe, Arm, BBC, Intel and Microsoft.
And guess what? Theyāre working on Portable Verifiable Credentials.
A core pillar of the Empowerment Tech stack.
Because we need the same trustworthiness for interacting online. From other people and businesses to digital products and content.
For those interested, check out the C2PA. Working on an open technical standard for anyone (publishers, creators, consumers) to trace the origin of different types of media.
Digital trust is digital trust.
I predict this is going to combine with ET in a big way.
What happens when we give Empowerment Tech to kids?
Hereās a completely different take on Empowerment Tech. And I donāt know where to start.
Ofcom, the UK tech and comms regulator, has released a report about childrenās use of tech.
I nearly spat out my tea:
A quarter of 5-7 year olds in the UK now own a smartphone
76% use a tablet
38% use social media sites or apps (WhatsApp (37%), TikTok (30%), Instagram (22%)Ā
32% of these parents say their child uses social media without supervision
Sorry what pardon?
Look at this through an ET angle.
Letās assume these very young children (48% of whom have personal profiles on YouTube or YouTube Kids) will soon get access - authorised or otherwise - to smart digital agents.
How on earth will we manage the fallout, when they can ask the agent to go and do things on their behalf?
Will we rely on Meta and Google to tell us how things will work, and to protect us? Because many of these children have to be lying about their age to get access to these digital tools. They are 5-7 years old.
We talk about ET use casesĀ like smarter customer services, form filling, ID checks and helping manage receipts.
Grown-up things.
But what about children and ET? What becomes possible? What are the downsides and terrible impacts?
Iām optimistic that questions around digital āguardianshipā - where one legal entity (e.g. parent) is responsible for another (e.g. child) - will be solved soon as part of the latest digital wallet research, regulations, and market forces.
But these solutions will take time. Certainly longer than the time it will take for brands to release digital personal AIs into the market. Apparently coming later this year in GPT5.
And youāll note that Meta just added AI chat - and presumably soon smart agents - into the WhatsApp app.
What am I missing? How should be thinking about children and Empowerment Tech?
Because you can bet that our kids will inevitably get their own personal AI soon after - or even at the same time as - the grown-ups do.
OTHER THINGS
There are far too many interesting and important Customer Futures things to include this week.
So here are some more links to chew on:
Article: Simon Taylorās latest long read on āKYC is brokenā READ
News: UK Government publishes itās Smart Data Roadmap READ
Podcast: Problems Worth Solving in SSI Land WATCH
Post: Using X.509 Certs for DID Provenance (one for the DID nerds) READ
Paper: Giving an AI product a human name changes how much people trust the results READ
Post: CODE sends an open letter to the EU about BigTechās non-compliance with the Digital Markets Act (DMA) READ
And thatās a wrap. Stay tuned for more Customer Futures soon, both here and over at LinkedIn.
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